Times two on the no guarantee, Now if someone or anyone can convince the "Lightning" to follow ohm's law.
Lightning per say follows no rules and makes it's own decision where and when to strike.
All the grounding and prevention can be done correctly and precisely, yet a direct lightning strike will be catastrophic.
Having a residence in FL, lightning strike capitol, I have seen many times the antenna and tower take a strike, having that "good" earth ground does help to get the charge to ground potential.
The only antenna damage I have ever had was having a fishing pole ( imax 2000, antron 99 or something along those lines) sticking out a top of a tall pine tree with no ground wire going to an earth ground. I had two of those fishing poles blown apart by lightning strikes. Of course coax was not connected to any equipment or for that matter even inside a building.
Coax was laying on the ground. always used to think that the tap root on a pine tree was deep enough to provide a good ground, sure made that coax look like burnt spaghetti noodles.