Cycle 25 Forecast

[BJ radionut]

Cycle 25 Forecast
The official forecast for Solar Cycle 25 was released on Monday and shows that the upcoming cycle will more or less be similar to Cycle 24. According to the new forecast, we are now entering the deepest part of solar minimum and should begin to see a slow rise in new cycle sunspots towards the end of 2020.

• Solar Maximum (Peak): within period Nov. 2021-to-Nov. 2024.
  • (Note, that is 5.2 yrs +/- 1.5 yrs from Solar Minimum.)
• Sunspot Peak Range: 75-110.
  • (Note, with a 20% chance > 110, and 5% chance < 75.
• • These numbers will likely be modified with further review of the evidence. The current consensus is biased toward SC25 being weaker than SC24.)

 

[fogdog]

Yep, not a great prediction.

 

[BJ radionut]

Yea, not good ...We are poised to break the Zero Sunspot #s for one year. The totals won't be ready till Mid-January but we are on pace for the worst year in Modern history, It looks like the record of 311 days Zero Sunspots for 12 month period is in Jeopardy.

BUT the MAGIC Band 6 Meters continues to surprise me!
Today:
St.Louis, MO
Arnold, MO
Church Point, LA
Kaplan, LA
Helotes, TX
Quebec, Canada (FN46) North/East of state of Maine
Jacksonville, FL
Plus OH/IN stations, of course, All worked in about 90 minutes near Sunrise (Gray Line) from EM79 near Indianapolis.
Crazy/Fun stuff!
All the Best
Gary/W9FNB

Hoping for some Winter Eskip to Central and S. America over the next couple of months.
Some of the Gulf Coast op's have already had an opening to S. America.
The 2 stations worked in Louisiana were diffidently Eskip...They were both S9 +/- for several minutes before they faded

 

[BJ radionut]

http://www.nemarc.org/hfconditions.html

Good Info on current conditions

 

[BJ radionut]

10 meters has shown some Eskip life last few days also. Many stations up the New England area. Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Oklahoma, and Brazil S. America worked in the last few days also.

 

[fogdog]

Even though the conditions are bad, I'm still having lots of fun on the band's. Europe usually daily, South America, Caribbean, and had a nice QSO with an Old Timer in Fairbanks AK yesterday. So while the conditions are in bad shape I can still give my radio a good work out. Keeps me out of trouble
I'm proof that 100 watts and a wire is all you need.